From $3,000 to $900: An Autopsy of the Palladium Crash
Palladium fell over 70% from its 2021 peak. Looking back, every component of the bull thesis broke at roughly the same time, which is why the decline was so brutal.
Palladium fell over 70% from its 2021 peak. Looking back, every component of the bull thesis broke at roughly the same time, which is why the decline was so brutal.
Russia mines palladium-rich ore. South Africa mines platinum-rich ore. Neither can switch ratios, and that geological accident shapes the entire PGM market.
For two decades, autocatalyst makers swapped platinum for palladium. Since 2020, the trade has run in reverse, and the implications for both metals are huge.
A single Siberian mining complex produces close to 40% of the world's palladium. Understanding Norilsk Nickel is non-negotiable for any palladium investor.
For the first time since 2002, palladium traded above gold in late 2018 and spent most of 2019 as the most expensive of the four major precious metals.
Platinum traded above palladium for most of recent history, then fell behind in 2018 and stayed there. The inversion is now reversing again. Here is why.
Norilsk Nickel produces roughly 40% of global palladium and meaningful platinum as a by-product. Sanctions risk has reshaped how the West thinks about PGM supply.
Sibanye started as a Gold Fields spinout and rebuilt itself into a top-three PGM producer in less than a decade. The portfolio is unique and the leverage is real.
Platinum is the headline name, but five sister metals share its geology and many of its uses. A practical guide to the full PGM family for serious investors.
When palladium hit $3,400 an ounce, automakers did what they always do: re-engineer the problem. The substitution story is now reshaping the entire PGM market.